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The 2009 Formula One Season has come staggering to an end. Jenson Button and Brawn GP used their early season dominance to ride out a late charge from Sebastian Vettel and Red Bull. The question now is what will happen in 2010.
With new designs, rules and budgets, the 2009 season was supposed to be the one that changed everything. Well, it was more of the same. The new designs didn't increase the passing. The excitement level of much of the season was so low that the battle between the teams and FIA was where the action was until Renault admitted it has fixed a race! Once that was all resolved, the exit of teams such as BMW and Toyota became the news. We now face a 2010 season that looks for all the world like a bare bones affair.
The 2010 season will be dominated by lineup issues. Arguably, there are only four teams that will be competitive - Ferrari, McLaren, Brawn and Red Bull. Depending on what day you check, there may be another 8 to 10 teams on the grid. Of those, a few will have decent pace, but most will be laggards. All indications are Ferrari will rise again. Red Bull looks solid, but McLaren and Brawn are in flux as the Mercedes move starts to occur.
So, what can we expect in 2010 from the race action? It is really difficult to say, but the season has all the indications of one in which a single team dominates. Of the four top level teams, Red Bull seems to be in the best position. Sebastian Vettel is a dominant driver and the car is excellent. Brawn jettisoned two very good drivers for one, Nico Rosberg, who has never done a thing and another who has yet to be named. All and all, it is difficult to see how this is a positive move for the team. Ah, but what of the two old lions - Ferrari and McLaren?
Ferrari had a bad season in 2009. 2010 will be better, but how much better is difficult to say. Fernando Alonso is a brilliant driver, but an even better car developer. That being said, the testing ban in Formula One makes it difficult to develop a car in season. The 2009 car was so bad that the team has a long way to go before it can claim to truly be competitive again. Look Ferrari to advance, but not be dominant until 2011 at the earliest.
McLaren started off horribly in 2009, but finished very strong. The team has two big problems, however. The first is Jenson Button, the new second driver. Lewis Hamilton has shown that he doesn't play well with other competitive drivers, so the decision to bring in new World Champion Button is extremely risky to say the least. Perhaps a bigger problem is the fact Mercedes is leaving McLaren. McLaren may be okay in 2010, but there are likely to be problems at some point when the maker of your engines and drive trains are headed out the door.
So, what can we expect? As hard as it may be to imagine, look for Sebastian Vettel and Red Bull to take both championships. McLaren will come in second with Ferrari and Brawn fighting it out for third. Nico Rosberg will disappoint in the Brawn, while Fernando Alonso will give hints of what is to come in the Ferrari.
Top 8 Putin moments: From frying pan terminator to Formula One driver
answers questions from the audience during his visit to the summer camp of the pro-Putin youth group Nashi at lake Seliger, some 248 miles north of Moscow, August 1. (Yana Lapikova/RIA Novosti/Reuters) Mr. Putin stopped by a pro-Kremlin youth camp.
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